Italian GP Weather: Latest forecast for F1 race at Monza

The 2023 Italian GP is due to be run between September 1-3 at Monza and the latest weather forecast has rain in the air for Sunday's F1 race

-

Max Verstappen attempts to evade the Monza Curse at the 2023 Italian Grand Prix as he aims to win a record tenth Formula 1 race in a row, but what part will the weather play? What is the weather forecast for the weekend’s F1 Italian GP?

The Dutch GP was heavily rain-affected, Verstappen rode the chaos and never really looked like losing the win, but Sergio Perez was caught out at the end of the race and slipped off the podium into fourth.

The race saw a huge 89 pit stops and the weather around Milan would need to be pretty crazy to cause a repeat of that, but it could still add yet another grand prix to a wet and wild F1 streak.

The last F1 race without a drop of rain falling over an on-track session was the Azerbaijan GP all the way back at the end of April. Interestingly, Perez has only scored three podiums in that spell.

Every Italian GP winner since 2019 has crashed out of their subsequent visit to Monza Charles Leclerc, Pierre Gasly and Daniel Ricciardo – while Lewis Hamilton was the last back-to-back winner of the race in 2017 and 2018.

Friday: Practice 1 and 2

Forecasts diverge later in the weekend but Friday predictions are pretty simple. Monza‘s default setting seems to be baking heat and clear blue skies, and that’s basically what’s expected for free practices.

It’s going to be hot – above 25 degrees Celsius – but this is actually the coolest day of the weekend as teams prepare for a scorcher in Italy.

The UK Met Office does give a 40% chance of rain at 14:00 local time – bang in the middle of FP1 – but nowhere else backs that up so fans will just have to wait and see if the short sharp shower does arrive.

Aside from that, drivers shouldn’t need to worry about wind in contrast to Zandvoort, a trend that continues all weekend.

Saturday: Practice 3 and Qualifying

Formula One F1 – Italian Grand Prix – Autodromo Nazionale Monza, Monza, Italy – September 10, 2022 Haas’ Mick Schumacher during qualifying REUTERS/Massimo Pinca

Amazingly, there’s also some rain around on Saturday, though it could very easily either miss the circuit or F1 track time.

Some forecasts have around a 40% chance of a downpour at 14:00 – bang in the middle of the gap between FP3 and qualifying, which starts at 16:00 local time.

There could still be a bit of rain around then, but it could just as easily be blazing sunshine with the mercury getting up another couple of degrees from Friday.

Sunday: Race

Red Bull celebrate Max Verstappen winning the 2022 Italian Grand Prix | Dan Mullan/Getty Images / Red Bull Content Pool

Yet again, there’s a range of forecasts for Monza. The most optimistic forecasts give (again) around a 40% chance of rain at the 15:00 lights out time, but others have sunshine all day without a hint of rain.

And track temperature is set to stay at a scorching 27 degrees, with minimal wind affecting the race.

Over the course of the weekend there’s cumulatively a decent chance – maybe one in three or four – that F1‘s wet streak continues to nine race weekends.

Whether it affects any competitive sessions is a different story though, if any drivers are to stop Verstappen they’ll likely need to do it in a straight and dry fight.

Adam Dickinson
Adam Dickinson
An international multi-award-winning journalist, Adam Dickinson has written for Total-Motorsport.com since June 2022 and also contributes to TNT Sports, Eurosport and the Rugby Paper. He's also had articles published in the Daily Telegraph and several local newspapers, previously worked for Last-Lap.co.uk and FeederSeries.net in motorsport, and graduated with a First-Class Journalism Degree from the University of Sheffield having also studied in Oklahoma. Adam started watching F1 by accident in 2007, catching the last race in Indianapolis, and attended his first race as a journalist at the 2023 British Grand Prix.
- Advertisment -

LATEST NEWS

Alex Bowman celebrates victory at the 2024 Chicago Street Race | NASCAR

How rain strategy helped Alex Bowman end his drought in Chicago

0
Alex Bowman and his job with Hendrick Motorsports was never really in question as his contract runs through the...
Lewis Hamilton, Lando Norris and Max Verstappen 1 at the 2024 British GP | Mercedes

F1 Driver Ratings — 2024 British GP

0
Lewis Hamilton finally ended his long wait for a race victory at the Formula 1 2024 British GP as...
George Russell leads the field into Turn 1 at the 2024 British GP | Mercedes

F1 Winners and Losers from the British GP

0
Lewis Hamilton emerged victorious in one of the most memorable races in recent Formula 1 history, which begs the...
Lewis Hamilton celebrates after winning the 2024 British GP | Mercedes

Lewis Hamilton masterclass proves he can take fight to Verstappen

0
Lewis Hamilton basked in the glory of his long-awaited victory at the British Grand Prix, celebrating in front of...
Max Verstappen looks on at the 2024 Austrian GP | Chris Graythen / Getty Images / Red Bull Content Pool

Max Verstappen rues ‘poor’ British GP as Red Bull battle rare issue

0
Max Verstappen conceded it was a "poor afternoon" for Red Bull at the Formula 1 2024 British Grand Prix...
Lando Norris with engineers at 2024 British GP | McLaren F1 Team

Are McLaren becoming ‘new Ferrari’ after another strategy blunder?

0
Lando Norris' media appearances after the British GP were a genuinely tough watch, with reporters seemingly counselling the 24-year-old...
Race winner Lewis Hamilton of Mercedes Max Verstappen on the podium after the 2024 British Grand Prix | Getty Images / Red Bull Content Pool

Lewis Hamilton: British GP win more crucial to Mercedes than Russell victory

0
Lewis Hamilton explained why he felt his victory at the Formula 1 2024 British Grand Prix on Sunday was...
Carlos Sainz at the 2024 Austrian GP | Scuderia Ferrari Press Office

F1 2024 British GP – Fastest Lap

0
Carlos Sainz snatched the fastest lap at the 2024 British GP at the final opportunity as an all-time classic...
Lando Norris during 2024 British GP | McLaren F1 Team

F1 Standings after 2024 British Grand Prix

0
An emotional 2024 British Grand Prix saw Lewis Hamilton take a record-breaking win at Silverstone, outsmarting Lando Norris and...
Max Verstappen leads Lando Norris of McLaren during the 2024 British Grand Prix | Getty Images / Red Bull Content Pool

F1 2024 British GP: Driver of the Day

0
There is a reason why the British Grand Prix remains the hottest attraction on the Formula 1 calendar and...
- Advertisment -